Double & Triple Tops

Double tops on both the daily, the weekly and perhaps triple top on H4. The blue zone is the area to watch that requires our attention for now. If we break the blue zone, then a re-test of 1.70000 is a real possibility. A daily candle closing outside the blue zone will confirm this. As long as the blue zone holds, a big fall is a matter of time.

It is always better to plan ahead!

Re: Understanding Price Action

Please read my last post

For GBPUSD price finally touched 1.61850 to replicate the move I envisaged in my last post. Our range for now is between the area mark in red boxes. Until the daily RSI reaches 30 point mark, the ultimate direction is down.

for GBPJPY my pending order at 135.00 was finally picked yesterday after pending for almost 3-4 weeks. The dragon has now completed 1000 pips move and a huge drop (another 1000 pips down is almost guaranteed) is very imminent it is only a matter of time. The only recommendation for GBPJPY now is SELL using H4 to pick bargain SELL

See the charts below. It is always helpful to plan ahead.

Understanding Price Action

I have always emphasised, most especially to new traders, that price movement is never random. It is an organised chaos designed by the big players to confuse the novice. However, the daily chart will exposes the intention of the big boys.



As you can see from the daily chart below from its height of 1.62795 the daily candle touched 1.59593 and is now pulling back as at the time of writing. Where will it close? Please note that until a candle closes it is still a moving target. Concidentally, the last time the daily candle fell from 1.62795 it touched t.59593 (indicated by the red box in the chart) and pulled back to 1.61750 area. On the first occassion, the daily RSI kissed 50 point mark and turned back. Will it behave the same way this time around? Coincidentally these key areas are respected on the weekly chart.



What is the meaning of the above observation? Whenever price gets to 50 point mark on the daily RSI price could go either way, it could either reverse or continue the journey. The key to success in this business is TIMING (TIME TO SELL, BUY, WAIT OR TAKE PROFIT). If you are trading using the daily chart as a guide 50 point mark is neither the time to buy or sell but to take profit and wait for other opportunities.



How do you trade this? As long RSI is still above the 50 point mark, the ultimate direction is down (30 point mark) before any major reversal. If this is a pull back, watch out for opportunity to sell between 1.61750 and 1.63000 when daily RSI would be around 70 point mark. In simple term, you can either wait for daily RSI to get back 70 point mark to sell or 30 point mark to buy.





See the daily and weekly charts below and the key areas to watch out for. It is always helpfull to plan ahead.

Outlook on some Majors

USDCAD
The downward pressure is still on USDCAD and the pair is still respecting the downward trendline on the weekly chart. Every attempt to rise met resistance at the 50 point mark. History has shown no currency pair remain low for ever.

Recommendation:

Wait for price to fall back to the 30 point mark on the daily chart and watch out for the 50 point mark to take profit or lock your profit.

GBPJPY

GBPJPY is stll continuing its upward movement from 125.45 As I mentioned earlier the pair usually move at least a 1000 pips divided in 500 pips to complete a circle. The current move is expected to reach around 134-135 area. Price is currently bouncing between 70 and 50 point mark.

Recommendation:

Wait for price to rise back to 70 point mark, sell and watch out for the 50 point mark on Daily RSI to take or lock your profit. Personally I would prefer to short around 134-135. I actually have a pendind order at 135.00 for almost three weeks.

GBPUSD

GBPUSD broke out of the concrete zone this week to touch 1.62796 to complete almost a 1000 pips move. The pressure is to the downside. Price is currently bouncing between 70 and 50 point mark.

Recommendation:

SELL. Wait for price to rise back to 70 point mark on the daily chart, sell and watch out for the 50 point mark on Daily RSI to take or lock your profit. Remember whenever a daily candle opens and clososes outside the concrete zone the direction is confirmed.


AUDUSD

AUDUSD us currently trading between 1.02411 and 0.95092 (our current concrete zone). The middle of the zone is established at 0.98038. Price is currently bouncing between 70 and 50 point mark.

Recommendation:

SELL. Wait for price to rise back to 70 point mark, sell and watch out for the 50 point mark on Daily RSI to take or lock your profit.

The relevant daily and weekly charts for these pairs are attached. Enjoy your trading!